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If Oakland Raiders Want Impact QB in NFL Draft, History Indicates Take One in the First Three Rounds

May 5th, 2014 at 2:49 PM
By Nicholas Gill

Oakland Raiders general manager Reggie McKenzie will not shy away from the quarterback position in the 2014 NFL Draft. Even though the Raiders made a trade to acquire Matt Schaub to be the starter this offseason, McKenzie is keeping his quarterback options open. 

“What it does is just give us some stability at that position,” McKenzie said of bringing in Schaub. “We needed that. Because we traded for Schaub, does that mean that we’re going to bypass a guy that we’ve got graded a certain way? No.”

Now if the Raiders do decide to address the quarterback position in the draft, they would be wise to do it in the first three rounds. Of the 32 starting quarterback in the NFL, only Tom Brady and Tony Romo were taken outside the top three rounds. In the last 10 NFL Drafts, there have been zero quarterbacks selected outside of the top three rounds who are currently starting quarterbacks. So, the notion of taking a developmental quarterback in the later rounds, works out rarely.

There have been a pair of seventh-round quarterbacks in Ryan Fitzpatrick and Matt Cassel, who were starters for a significant time, but are currently back-ups. As far as projected starting quarterbacks in the NFL for 2014, 20 were taken in the first round of the NFL Draft. Another four were taken in the second round and four were taken in the third round. That makes 28 of 32 drafted in the first three rounds, with the Cleveland Browns and Houston Texans still very unsettled.

The Raiders are unlikely to select a quarterback with the fifth overall selection, choosing instead to address other needs. That would mean, if history is an indication, they would need to take a quarterback in the second or third round, for that player to have a chance to become a starting quarterback. It makes sense that payers drafted higher would have a better opportunity to be successful. However, with the Raiders wanting to take a quarterback later, do not get your hopes up that they can just find someone late to develop for the future. It does not happen occur often. They could be better off using those picks on other players and rolling with Schaub until next season.


Tags: 2014 NFL Draft, Football, Matt Schaub, NFL, Oakland, Oakland Raiders, Tom Brady

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