Using the Jahnke Valuation Model (JVM), which relies on a variety of factors comparing a player to other players at the same position, ESPN determined Manning was the most overpaid player in the league in 2013 based on his on-field performance.
It seemed as if Manning was improving year after year and had worked his way into the second tier of quarterbacks. He seemed to hit a peak in his Super Bowl season of 2011, and then took a minor step back in 2012. This was followed by 2013, which was a major step in the wrong direction.
Manning's accuracy percentage of 57.5 was second-worst among starting quarterbacks, and his inaccuracy led to 27 interceptions (more INTs than any QB has had in a season since 2005). He threw the ball better than average on intermediate and — at times — deep throws, which still made him worth a decent amount of money, but not anywhere close to his cap hit of $20.8 million.
He has two more years on his contract, where he is owed roughly the same amount in annual value as he was in 2013. He is 33, the age where quarterbacks typically start to decline, so even if he has a slight rebound, he would continue to be the most overpaid player in the NFL.
As with many other Eli critics, what Nathan Jahnke (who also works for Pro Football Focus) fails to factor in was the play around Manning. Or rather, the lack thereof.
While Manning lead the league in turnovers in 2013, that was at least a partial product of a number of other factors including an inconsistent, aging and oft-injured offensive line, relatively predictable play-calling, miscommunication with his wide receivers and lack of a solid running game.
Although Manning does not escape the entirety of the blame — and how could he? — the value he brings to the Giants franchise is incalculable. And his age aside, there's certainly not enough valid evidence when factoring in everything mentioned above to declare that Manning will "continue to be the most overpaid player in the NFL."
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